"News that's not known, or not known enough."
Helen & Harry Highwater's cranky weblog of news and opinion.
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"News that's not known, or not known enough." Helen & Harry Highwater's cranky weblog of news and opinion. |
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Middle East on hair-trigger alert
Hez b'Allah will exact its revenge for Mugniya's death, but the scale of retribution is unknown. The big question is this: will Iran/Syria pull the trigger via their proxy army or will they simply use the threat of war to achieve a measure of protection to sustain their domestic political and nuclear agendas? One clear sign of a coming Israeli invasion will be the withdrawal of the UN Euro Forces (mostly French, German, Italian) currently separating Hez b'Allah and Israeli at the Litani S Lebanon. At this point, however, nothing is certain as their are too many fingers on too many triggers and events can easily spiral out of control as they did in 2006. Is it coincidence that Cheney visits Israel and Palestine one day after the Muslim 40 day period of mourning for Mugniyeh, and that Fatah and Hamas announce a Peace accord on the same day? Syria has also completed its "investigation" of Mugniyeh's death yesterday and concluded 100% that Israel did it (gee ... really! Was there ever any doubt as to who Syria would blame?). Two days ago France and Germany openly threatened Iran's nuclear ambitions within the context of their own nuclear reprisal ability. US warships (Missile frigates) moved closer to the Lebanese Coast a week or so ago.
You give me too much credit. Since my last email:
The upcoming Arab league summit scheduled for March 28-29 in Damascus has been snubbed by the President of Egypt and the King of Saudi Arabia. Gen Patreus is directly blaming Iran for the spike of violence this past week in Iraq Israel is on "hair-trigger" alert.
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